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Metas de inflação e investimento: o caso do Brasil

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Author Info
Marco Flavio da Cunha Resende (Cedeplar-UFMG)
Fabiana Lima (PUC-SP)

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Abstract

In this paper two hypotheses about the relationship between monetary policy and investment in the context of the inflation target system were tested. One of these hypotheses is based on the idea of neutrality of money, and the other hypothesis is based on the reject of that idea. An investment equation for the Brazilian economy was estimated (1848-2005), and a proxy for current expectations about monetary policy was adopted as one of the independent variables of the equation. Structural break tests for the equation were conduced by the assumption of changes on the coefficients of the equation after the inflation target system implementation. Another equation using piece-wise dummy variable was estimated. The results highlight that a negative correlation between current expectation of restrictive monetary policy and current investment rose after the inflation target system implementation.

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File URL: http://www.cedeplar.ufmg.br/pesquisas/td/TD%20316.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais in its series Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG with number td316.

Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cdp:texdis:td316

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Postal: Cedeplar-FACE-UFMG Av. Antonio Carlos, 6627 Belo Horizonte, MG 31270-901 Brazil
Phone: 55-31-3409-7100
Fax: +55 31 3201-3657
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Web page: http://www.cedeplar.ufmg.br
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Postal: Cedeplar-FACE-UFMG Av. Antonio Carlos, 6627 Belo Horizonte, MG 31270-901 Brazil

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Hugo E. A. da Gama Cerqueira).

Related research
Keywords: inflation target; monetary policy; investment;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-18.

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