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The New "Normal" for Interest Rates in Canada: The Implications of Long-Term Shifts in Global Saving and Investment

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  • Paul Beaudry

    (University of British Columbia)

  • Philippe Bergevin

    (C.D. Howe Institute)

Abstract

How far and how fast Canada’s record-low interest rates will rise in the coming years is a vital question for consumers and businesses. In “The New “Normal” for Interest Rates in Canada: The Implications of Long-Term Shifts in Global Saving and Investment,” authors Paul Beaudry and Philippe Bergevin find that the normal or “neutral” rate is likely lower than its historical average, and likely will remain at relatively lower levels over the next decade.

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Paper provided by C.D. Howe Institute in its series e-briefs with number 156.

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Publication status: Published on the C.D. Howe Institute website, May 2013
Handle: RePEc:cdh:ebrief:156

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Keywords: Monetary Policy;

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  1. David Laidler, 2011. "Natural Hazards: Some Pitfalls on the Path to a Neutral Interest Rate," C.D. Howe Institute Backgrounder, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 140, July.
  2. Guonan Ma & Wang Yi, 2010. "China’s High Saving Rate: Myth and Reality," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 122, pages 5-40.
  3. Brigitte Desroches & Michael Francis, 2006. "Global Savings, Investment, and World Real Interest Rates," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2006(Winter), pages 3-17.
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