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CBO’s Model of Drug Price Negotiations Under the Elijah E. Cummings Lower Drug Costs Now Act: Working Paper 2021-01

Author

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  • Christopher Adams
  • Evan Herrnstadt

Abstract

One of the inputs that the Congressional Budget Office used to estimate the budgetary effects of the Elijah E. Cummings Lower Drug Costs Now Act (H.R. 3) is a simulation model of price negotiations. CBO modeled those negotiations using a Nash bargaining framework, which was based on the gains to each party—the government and the manufacturer—from a successful negotiation. The gain to the government was estimated to be the avoided cost of purchasing the next-best alternative treatment, plus the incremental clinical value of using the drug of interest instead of the

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher Adams & Evan Herrnstadt, 2021. "CBO’s Model of Drug Price Negotiations Under the Elijah E. Cummings Lower Drug Costs Now Act: Working Paper 2021-01," Working Papers 56905, Congressional Budget Office.
  • Handle: RePEc:cbo:wpaper:56905
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    File URL: https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2021-02/56905-Drug-Price-Negotiations.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Dubois, Pierre & Gandhi, Ashvin & Vasserman, Shoshana, 2022. "Bargaining and International Reference Pricing in the Pharmaceutical Industry," CEPR Discussion Papers 17293, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I11 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Analysis of Health Care Markets
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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