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Interim Economic Projections for 2020 and 2021

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  • Congressional Budget Office

Abstract

CBO estimates that real (adjusted for inflation) gross domestic product (GDP) will contract by 11 percent in the second quarter of this year, which is equivalent to a decline of 38 percent at an annual rate. In the second quarter, the number of people employed will be almost 26 million lower than the number in the fourth quarter of 2019.

Suggested Citation

  • Congressional Budget Office, 2020. "Interim Economic Projections for 2020 and 2021," Reports 56351, Congressional Budget Office.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbo:report:56351
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    File URL: https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2020-05/56351-CBO-interim-projections.pdf
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    1. repec:aei:rpaper:1008586598 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Jeffrey Clemens & Stan Veuger, 2020. "Implications of the COVID-19 Pandemic for State Government Tax Revenues," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 73(3), pages 619-644, September.
    3. John M. Reilly & Y.-H. Henry Chen & Henry D. Jacoby, 2021. "The COVID-19 effect on the Paris agreement," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 8(1), pages 1-4, December.
    4. Burgess, Matthew G. & Langendorf, Ryan E. & Ippolito, Tara & Pielke, Roger Jr, 2020. "Optimistically biased economic growth forecasts and negatively skewed annual variation," SocArXiv vndqr, Center for Open Science.
    5. Jeffrey Clemens & Benedic Ippolito & Stan Veuger, 2021. "Medicaid and fiscal federalism during the COVID‐19 pandemic," Public Budgeting & Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(4), pages 94-109, December.
    6. Pretnar, Nick, 2020. "The Intergenerational Welfare Implications of Disease Contagion," MPRA Paper 101862, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jul 2020.
    7. repec:aei:journl:y:2020:id:1008578025 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. repec:aei:rpaper:1008570714 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Howard Chernick & David Copeland & Andrew Reschovsky, 2020. "The Fiscal Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Cities: An Initial Assessment," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 73(3), pages 699-732, September.
    10. Terrie Walmsley & Adam Rose & Dan Wei, 2021. "The Impacts of the Coronavirus on the Economy of the United States," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-52, April.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General

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