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The Elusive Effects of Demography on Rates of Return

Author

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  • Edmund Cannon

Abstract

Projected large changes in demographic profiles of developed countries over the next fifty years have led to increasing interest in the relationship between population structure and macroeconomic performance. Because demographic changes tend to be very slow, empirical analysis requires long time data sets, and this means that there is little evidence available for the likely effects of these changes. This paper addresses the problem by using panel data for 1900-1999 for sixteen developed countries to investigate the effects of population structure on rates of return. It concludes that there is no obvious direct relationship between demographics and rates of return, although there may be some indirect effect via the growth rate of the GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Edmund Cannon, 2003. "The Elusive Effects of Demography on Rates of Return," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 03/551, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    • Handle: RePEc:bri:uobdis:03/551
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    rates of return; demographic effects; population structure;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics

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