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Capital Flow Paradox, Speculation And External Adjustment In Emerging Market Economies

Author

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  • Massimiliano La Marca

    (United Nations Conference on Trade and Development)

Abstract

The paper provides some evidence on the current pattern of current account imbalances, real exchange rate and growth in emerging market economies and offers an interpretation to the fact that fast-growing economies tend to run small current account deficits or surpluses while preserving a non overvalued real exchange rate. The evidence that some speculative capital flows induced by domestic monetary policies may bring the exchange rate on a path inconsistent with an improvement of the external position provides a basis for a reconsideration of monetary and exchange rate policies at the national and international level.This paper was presented May 22, 2008, at the 18th International Conference of the International Trade and Finance Association meeting at Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal.Keywords: foreign exchange rate, capital flows, growth, carry trade.JEL Classification: F31, F32, G15

Suggested Citation

  • Massimiliano La Marca, 2008. "Capital Flow Paradox, Speculation And External Adjustment In Emerging Market Economies," International Trade and Finance Association Conference Papers 1129, International Trade and Finance Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:bep:itfapp:1129
    as

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign exchange rate; capital flows; growth; carry trade.jel classification: f31; f32; g15;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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