IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdi/opques/qef_279_15.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The impact of lower oil prices on energy expenditure and economic activity

Author

Listed:
  • Ivan Faiella

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Alessandro Mistretta

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

The recent drop in oil prices will lower Italy�s energy bill. Due to the progressive marginalization of oil, both as an energy source and as a benchmark for energy prices, households and firms will reap the benefits of this reduction largely through the lower cost of petroleum products; for electricity and gas, the effects will be negligible. Using simulation techniques and survey microdata it can be estimated that the effects will differ for households and firms, with the former expected to benefit from liquid fuel savings amounting to �2.1 billion per year (�80 per family), �1.8 billion of which will be used to increase consumer spending. These additional resources will not reach the one third of households that do not purchase gasoline or diesel. Using some recent estimates of manufacturing firms� energy costs we also estimate that the decline in the prices of oil products will increase turnover by �650 million and investment expenditure by about �27 million.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivan Faiella & Alessandro Mistretta, 2015. "The impact of lower oil prices on energy expenditure and economic activity," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 279, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_279_15
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/qef/2015-0279/QEF_279.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pawel Witkowski & Adam Adamczyk & Slawomir Franek, 2021. "Does Carbon Risk Matter? Evidence of Carbon Premium in EU Energy-Intensive Companies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-18, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    microsimulation; oil prices; energy costs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_279_15. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bdigvit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.