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Datado y sincronía del ciclo regional en España

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Bandrés

    (Universidad De Zaragoza Y Funcas)

  • María-Dolores Gadea

    (Universidad De Zaragoza)

  • Ana Gómez-Loscos

    (Banco De España)

Abstract

El análisis del ciclo regional en España pone de relieve la existencia de una elevada coherencia en la trayectoria de la mayor parte de las regiones, pero también permite detectar comportamientos singulares, que, en su mayor parte, condicionan la duración e intensidad de las recesiones. Son estas singularidades las que aconsejarían completar las políticas de ámbito nacional con actuaciones específicas dirigidas a determinados territorios. Este trabajo adopta dos enfoques complementarios para datar y analizar el ciclo regional: el primero usa un indicador agregado de carácter anual, como el PIB, para el que se dispone de una serie larga y permite contextualizar los aspectos de más largo plazo, mientras que el segundo utiliza un conjunto de indicadores específicos mensuales para un período más reciente y proporciona una caracterización más precisa del ciclo de referencia.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Bandrés & María-Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez-Loscos, 2021. "Datado y sincronía del ciclo regional en España," Occasional Papers 2107, Banco de España.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:opaper:2107
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ciclos regionales; sincronización; clusters;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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