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The impact of fiscal consolidation on economic growth. An illustration for the Spanish economy based on a general equilibrium model

Author

Listed:
  • Pablo Hernández de Cos

    (Banco de España)

  • Carlos Thomas

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

This study illustrates the effects of different fiscal consolidation measures on economic activity through simulations performed with a general equilibrium model calibrated to the Spanish economy. Overall, our results show that fiscal consolidation has short-run costs but sizable long-run benefits in terms of growth. Regarding the short-run costs, their magnitude depends crucially on the presence of confidence effects due to the consolidation process, which tend to reduce the value of fiscal multipliers

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo Hernández de Cos & Carlos Thomas, 2012. "The impact of fiscal consolidation on economic growth. An illustration for the Spanish economy based on a general equilibrium model," Occasional Papers 1205, Banco de España.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:opaper:1205
    as

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    File URL: http://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosOcasionales/12/Fich/do1205.pdf
    File Function: First version, May 2012
    Download Restriction: no
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Warmedinger & Cristina Checherita-Westphal & Pablo Hernández de Cos, 2015. "Fiscal Multipliers and Beyond," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 215(4), pages 139-168, December.
    2. repec:ecb:ecbops:2011162 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal consolidation; general equilibrium; fiscal multipliers; confidence effects;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models

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