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A simulation of the effects of the personal income tax reform on the tax burden

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Author Info
Isabel Argimón () (Banco de España)
Francisco de Castro () (Banco de España)
Ángel Luis Gómez () (Banco de España)

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Abstract

The new Personal Income Tax Law came into force in January 2007. The main changes with respect to the previous regulation are the new tax treatment of personal and family circumstances and saving returns. This study aims to quantify the overall effect of the reform on tax revenue and to assess its redistributive impact by considering the different main income sources. In order to attain these objectives, we have used an Instituto de Estudios Fiscales sample of 2002 income tax returns to construct a baseline scenario for 2007 to simulate the reform. The reform will involve a moderate tax cut in relation to the baseline scenario. However, in relative terms, the tax reduction will be especially intense for lowest income and joint returns. Pensioners, recipients of business and professional incomes and dependent employees, though to a lower extent, would benefit from lower taxes. Lastly, the reform of the personal income tax is estimated to increase progressivity moderately, although lower tax revenues will imply lower redistributive capacity.

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File URL: http://www.bde.es/informes/be/ocasional/do0702.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First spanish version, March 2007
Download Restriction: no

Publisher Info
Paper provided by Banco de España in its series Banco de España Occasional Papers with number 0702.

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Length: 60 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bde:opaper:0702

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Web page: http://www.bde.es/
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Related research
Keywords: personal income tax reform; cost of the reform; effective tax rates; income sources; population deciles;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
K34 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - Tax Law
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-8.


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