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Inflation-Hedging, Asset Allocation And The Investment Horizon

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  • Benedikt Fleischmann
  • Christian Rehring
  • Steffen Sebastian

Abstract

Focusing on the role of the investment horizon, we analyze the inflation-hedging abilities of stocks, bonds, cash, and direct commercial real estate investments, and the implications of the inflation-hedge results for asset allocation. Based on vector autoregressions for the UK market we find that the inflation-hedging abilities of all assets improve with the investment horizon. For long horizons, real estate seems to hedge unexpected inflation as well as cash. This has implications for the difference between the return volatility of real returns versus the return volatility of nominal returns, and ultimately for asset allocations. Portfolio optimizations based on real returns yield higher allocations to cash and real estate than optimizations based on nominal returns. Bonds tend to be less attractive for an investor taking into account inflation. Switching from nominal to real returns, the allocation to stocks is decreasing at medium investment horizon, but increasing at long horizons.

Suggested Citation

  • Benedikt Fleischmann & Christian Rehring & Steffen Sebastian, 2010. "Inflation-Hedging, Asset Allocation And The Investment Horizon," ERES eres2010_289, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2010_289
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    File URL: https://eres.architexturez.net/doc/oai-eres-id-eres2010-289
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    Cited by:

    1. Ron Bird & Harry Liem & Susan Thorp, 2014. "Infrastructure: Real Assets and Real Returns," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 20(4), pages 802-824, September.
    2. Just, Tobias & Möbert, Jochen & Heinrich, Michael, . "Deutsche Wohnimmobilien als Kapitalanlage : Gutachten im Auftrag der Deutsche Bank Privat- und Geschäftskunden AG," Beiträge zur Immobilienwirtschaft, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics, number 6, August.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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