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Statistical Properties of the Returns of Stock Prices of International Markets

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  • GabJin Oh
  • Cheol-Jun Um
  • Seunghwan Kim

Abstract

We investigate statistical properties of daily international market indices of seven countries, and high-frequency $S&P500$ and KOSDAQ data, by using the detrended fluctuation method and the surrogate test. We have found that the returns of international stock market indices of seven countries follow a universal power-law distribution with an exponent of $\zeta \approx 3$, while the Korean stock market follows an exponential distribution with an exponent of $\beta \approx 0.7$. The Hurst exponent analysis of the original return, and its magnitude and sign series, reveal that the long-term-memory property, which is absent in the returns and sign series, exists in the magnitude time series with $0.7 \leq H \leq 0.8$. The surrogate test shows that the magnitude time series reflects the non-linearity of the return series, which helps to reveal that the KOSDAQ index, one of the emerging markets, shows higher volatility than a mature market such as the {S&P} 500 index.

Suggested Citation

  • GabJin Oh & Cheol-Jun Um & Seunghwan Kim, 2006. "Statistical Properties of the Returns of Stock Prices of International Markets," Papers physics/0601126, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:physics/0601126
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    Cited by:

    1. Dutta, Srimonti & Ghosh, Dipak & Chatterjee, Sucharita, 2016. "Multifractal detrended Cross Correlation Analysis of Foreign Exchange and SENSEX fluctuation in Indian perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 188-201.
    2. Gomes, Luís M. P. & Soares, Vasco J. S. & Gama, Sílvio M. A. & Matos, José A. O., 2018. "Long-term memory in Euronext stock indexes returns: an econophysics approach," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 14(4), pages 862-881, August.
    3. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2021. "Financial Return Distributions: Past, Present, and COVID-19," Papers 2107.06659, arXiv.org.
    4. Héctor F. Salazar-Núñez & Francisco Venegas-Martínez & Cuauhtémoc Calderón-Villareal, 2017. "¿Existe memoria larga en mercados bursátiles, o depende del modelo, periodo o frecuencia? (Is there Long Memory in Stock Markets, or Does it Depend on the Model, Period or Frequency?)," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 1-24, May.
    5. Hull, Matthew & McGroarty, Frank, 2014. "Do emerging markets become more efficient as they develop? Long memory persistence in equity indices," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 45-61.
    6. R. P. Datta, 2023. "Analysis of Indian foreign exchange markets: A Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) approach," Papers 2306.16162, arXiv.org.

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