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Correlations in Economic Time Series

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Author Info

  • Yanhui Liu
  • Pierre Cizeau
  • Martin Meyer
  • Chung-Kang Peng
  • H. Eugene Stanley
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    Abstract

    The correlation function of a financial index of the New York stock exchange, the S&P 500, is analyzed at 1 min intervals over the 13-year period, Jan 84 -- Dec 96. We quantify the correlations of the absolute values of the index increment. We find that these correlations can be described by two different power laws with a crossover time t_\times\approx 600 min. Detrended fluctuation analysis gives exponents $\alpha_1=0.66$ and $\alpha_2=0.93$ for $t t_\times$ respectively. Power spectrum analysis gives corresponding exponents $\beta_1=0.31$ and $\beta_2=0.90$ for $f>f_\times$ and $f

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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/cond-mat/9706021
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by arXiv.org in its series Papers with number cond-mat/9706021.

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    Date of creation: Jun 1997
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    Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:cond-mat/9706021

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    Web page: http://arxiv.org/

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    Cited by:
    1. Yang, Honglin & Wan, Hong & Zha, Yong, 2013. "Autocorrelation type, timescale and statistical property in financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(7), pages 1681-1693.
    2. Serinaldi, Francesco, 2010. "Use and misuse of some Hurst parameter estimators applied to stationary and non-stationary financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2770-2781.
    3. Lu, Feiyu & Yuan, Naiming & Fu, Zuntao & Mao, Jiangyu, 2012. "Universal scaling behaviors of meteorological variables’ volatility and relations with original records," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(20), pages 4953-4962.
    4. Seemann, Lars & Hua, Jia-Chen & McCauley, Joseph L. & Gunaratne, Gemunu H., 2012. "Ensemble vs. time averages in financial time series analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(23), pages 6024-6032.
    5. S. M. Duarte Queiros, 2005. "On non-Gaussianity and dependence in financial time series: a nonextensive approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(5), pages 475-487.
    6. Pirino, Davide, 2009. "Jump detection and long range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(7), pages 1150-1156.
    7. Yuan, Naiming & Fu, Zuntao & Mao, Jiangyu, 2010. "Different scaling behaviors in daily temperature records over China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(19), pages 4087-4095.
    8. Gu, Gao-Feng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2007. "Statistical properties of daily ensemble variables in the Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(2), pages 497-506.
    9. Schinckus, C., 2013. "Between complexity of modelling and modelling of complexity: An essay on econophysics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(17), pages 3654-3665.
    10. Wyart, Matthieu & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2007. "Self-referential behaviour, overreaction and conventions in financial markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 1-24, May.
    11. Muchnik, Lev & Bunde, Armin & Havlin, Shlomo, 2009. "Long term memory in extreme returns of financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(19), pages 4145-4150.
    12. Kang, Sang Hoon & Cho, Hwan-Gue & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2009. "Modeling sudden volatility changes: Evidence from Japanese and Korean stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(17), pages 3543-3550.
    13. Kang, Sang Hoon & Cheong, Chongcheul & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2010. "Long memory volatility in Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(7), pages 1425-1433.
    14. Marco Bartolozzi, 2010. "A Multi Agent Model for the Limit Order Book Dynamics," Papers 1005.0182, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2010.
    15. Hendrik J. Blok, 2000. "On the nature of the stock market: Simulations and experiments," Papers cond-mat/0010211, arXiv.org.
    16. Nunes Amaral, LuĂ­s A & Buldyrev, Sergey V & Havlin, Shlomo & Maass, Philipp & Salinger, Michael A & Eugene Stanley, H & Stanley, Michael H.R, 1997. "Scaling behavior in economics: The problem of quantifying company growth," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 244(1), pages 1-24.
    17. Lisa Borland & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Jean-Francois Muzy & Gilles Zumbach, 2005. "The Dynamics of Financial Markets -- Mandelbrot's multifractal cascades, and beyond," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500061, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.

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