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Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Abi Jaber

    (Xiaoyuan)

  • Camille Illand

    (Xiaoyuan)

  • Shaun

    (Xiaoyuan)

  • Li

Abstract

We consider the joint SPX-VIX calibration within a general class of Gaussian polynomial volatility models in which the volatility of the SPX is assumed to be a polynomial function of a Gaussian Volterra process defined as a stochastic convolution between a kernel and a Brownian motion. By performing joint calibration to daily SPX-VIX implied volatility surface data between 2012 and 2022, we compare the empirical performance of different kernels and their associated Markovian and non-Markovian models, such as rough and non-rough path-dependent volatility models. In order to ensure an efficient calibration and a fair comparison between the models, we develop a generic unified method in our class of models for fast and accurate pricing of SPX and VIX derivatives based on functional quantization and Neural Networks. For the first time, we identify a \textit{conventional one-factor Markovian continuous stochastic volatility model} that is able to achieve remarkable fits of the implied volatility surfaces of the SPX and VIX together with the term structure of VIX futures. What is even more remarkable is that our conventional one-factor Markovian continuous stochastic volatility model outperforms, in all market conditions, its rough and non-rough path-dependent counterparts with the same number of parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun & Li, 2022. "Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints," Papers 2212.08297, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2212.08297
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun Xiaoyuan Li, 2023. "The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model that jointly calibrates SPX & VIX smiles," Working Papers hal-03909334, HAL.
    2. Ioannis Gasteratos & Antoine Jacquier, 2023. "Transportation-cost inequalities for non-linear Gaussian functionals," Papers 2310.05750, arXiv.org.
    3. Ofelia Bonesini & Giorgia Callegaro & Martino Grasselli & Gilles Pag`es, 2023. "From elephant to goldfish (and back): memory in stochastic Volterra processes," Papers 2306.02708, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    4. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Nathan De Carvalho, 2023. "Reconciling rough volatility with jumps," Papers 2303.07222, arXiv.org.
    5. Antoine Jacquier & Zan Zuric, 2023. "Random neural networks for rough volatility," Papers 2305.01035, arXiv.org.

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