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Transitioning out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Zone-Based Social Distancing

Author

Listed:
  • Eric Friedman
  • John Friedman
  • Simon Johnson
  • Adam Landsberg

Abstract

In the face of elevated pandemic risk, is it necessary to completely lock down the population, imposing extreme social distancing? Canonical epidemiological models suggest this may be unavoidable for months at a time, despite the heavy social and human cost of physically isolating people. Alternatively, people could retreat into socially or economically defined defensive zones, with more interactions inside their zone than across zones. Starting from a complete lockdown, zones could facilitate responsible reopening of education, government, and firms, as a well-implemented structure can dramatically slow the diffusion of the disease. This paper provides a framework for understanding and evaluating the effectiveness of zones for social distancing.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Friedman & John Friedman & Simon Johnson & Adam Landsberg, 2020. "Transitioning out of the Coronavirus Lockdown: A Framework for Zone-Based Social Distancing," Papers 2004.08504, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2004.08504
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2004.08504
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    Cited by:

    1. Campos-Mercade, Pol & Meier, Armando N. & Schneider, Florian H. & Wengström, Erik, 2021. "Prosociality predicts health behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    2. Daron Acemoglu & Victor Chernozhukov & Iván Werning & Michael D. Whinston, 2021. "Optimal Targeted Lockdowns in a Multigroup SIR Model," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 3(4), pages 487-502, December.
    3. Roberto Benedetti & Federica Piersimoni & Giacomo Pignataro & Francesco Vidoli, 2020. "Identification of spatially constrained homogeneous clusters of COVID‐19 transmission in Italy," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(6), pages 1169-1187, December.

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