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Fair Estimation of Capital Risk Allocation

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  • Tomasz R. Bielecki
  • Igor Cialenco
  • Marcin Pitera
  • Thorsten Schmidt

Abstract

In this paper we develop a novel methodology for estimation of risk capital allocation. The methodology is rooted in the theory of risk measures. We work within a general, but tractable class of law-invariant coherent risk measures, with a particular focus on expected shortfall. We introduce the concept of fair capital allocations and provide explicit formulae for fair capital allocations in case when the constituents of the risky portfolio are jointly normally distributed. The main focus of the paper is on the problem of approximating fair portfolio allocations in the case of not fully known law of the portfolio constituents. We define and study the concepts of fair allocation estimators and asymptotically fair allocation estimators. A substantial part of our study is devoted to the problem of estimating fair risk allocations for expected shortfall. We study this problem under normality as well as in a nonparametric setup. We derive several estimators, and prove their fairness and/or asymptotic fairness. Last, but not least, we propose two backtesting methodologies that are oriented at assessing the performance of the allocation estimation procedure. The paper closes with a substantial numerical study of the subject.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomasz R. Bielecki & Igor Cialenco & Marcin Pitera & Thorsten Schmidt, 2019. "Fair Estimation of Capital Risk Allocation," Papers 1902.10044, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1902.10044
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tomasz R. Bielecki & Igor Cialenco & Shibi Feng, 2018. "A Dynamic Model Of Central Counterparty Risk," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(08), pages 1-34, December.
    2. Tsanakas, Andreas, 2009. "To split or not to split: Capital allocation with convex risk measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 268-277, April.
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    8. Pitera, Marcin & Schmidt, Thorsten, 2018. "Unbiased estimation of risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 133-145.
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Bartl & Ludovic Tangpi, 2020. "Non-asymptotic convergence rates for the plug-in estimation of risk measures," Papers 2003.10479, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.

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