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Fluctuation of USA Gold Price - Revisited with Chaos-based Complex Network Method

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  • Susmita Bhaduri
  • Dipak Ghosh
  • Subhadeep Ghosh

Abstract

We give emphasis on the use of chaos-based rigorous nonlinear technique called Visibility Graph Analysis, to study one economic time series - gold price of USA. This method can offer reliable results with fiinite data. This paper reports the result of such an analysis on the times series depicting the fluctuation of gold price of USA for the span of 25 years(1990 - 2013). This analysis reveals that a quantitative parameter from the theory can explain satisfactorily the real life nature of fluctuation of gold price of USA and hence building a strong database in terms of a quantitative parameter which can eventually be used for forecasting purpose.

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  • Susmita Bhaduri & Dipak Ghosh & Subhadeep Ghosh, 2016. "Fluctuation of USA Gold Price - Revisited with Chaos-based Complex Network Method," Papers 1608.01103, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1608.01103
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    1. Long, Yu, 2013. "Visibility graph network analysis of gold price time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(16), pages 3374-3384.
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