IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1602.05471.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Robust Financial Bubbles

Author

Listed:
  • Francesca Biagini
  • Jacopo Mancin

Abstract

We study the concept of financial bubble in a market model endowed with a set of probability measures, typically mutually singular to each other. In this setting we introduce the notions of robust bubble and robust fundamental value in a consistent way with the existing literature in the case a unique prior exists. The notion of no dominance is also investigated under the uncertainty framework. Finally, we provide concrete examples illustrating our results.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesca Biagini & Jacopo Mancin, 2016. "Robust Financial Bubbles," Papers 1602.05471, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1602.05471
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1602.05471
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Soner, H. Mete & Touzi, Nizar & Zhang, Jianfeng, 2011. "Martingale representation theorem for the G-expectation," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 265-287, February.
    2. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Nutz, Marcel & van Handel, Ramon, 2013. "Constructing sublinear expectations on path space," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(8), pages 3100-3121.
    4. Marcel Nutz & H. Mete Soner, 2010. "Superhedging and Dynamic Risk Measures under Volatility Uncertainty," Papers 1011.2958, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2012.
    5. Nutz, Marcel, 2015. "Robust superhedging with jumps and diffusion," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(12), pages 4543-4555.
    6. Alexander M. G. Cox & Zhaoxu Hou & Jan Obloj, 2014. "Robust pricing and hedging under trading restrictions and the emergence of local martingale models," Papers 1406.0551, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2015.
    7. Soumik Pal & Philip Protter, 2007. "Analysis of continuous strict local martingales via h-transforms," Papers 0711.1136, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2010.
    8. Marcel Nutz, 2014. "Robust Superhedging with Jumps and Diffusion," Papers 1407.1674, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2015.
    9. Martin Herdegen & Martin Schweizer, 2016. "Strong Bubbles And Strict Local Martingales," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(04), pages 1-44, June.
    10. Marcel Nutz & Ramon van Handel, 2012. "Constructing Sublinear Expectations on Path Space," Papers 1205.2415, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
    11. Alexander Cox & David Hobson, 2005. "Local martingales, bubbles and option prices," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 477-492, October.
    12. Vorbrink, Jörg, 2014. "Financial markets with volatility uncertainty," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 64-78.
    13. Marcel Nutz & Jianfeng Zhang, 2012. "Optimal stopping under adverse nonlinear expectation and related games," Papers 1212.2140, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2015.
    14. Pal, Soumik & Protter, Philip, 2010. "Analysis of continuous strict local martingales via h-transforms," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(8), pages 1424-1443, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Marcel Nutz, 2018. "A risk-neutral equilibrium leading to uncertain volatility pricing," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 281-295, April.
    2. Francesca Biagini & Katharina Oberpriller, 2020. "Reduced-form setting under model uncertainty with non-linear affine processes," Papers 2006.14307, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    3. Francesca Biagini & Yinglin Zhang, 2017. "Reduced-form framework under model uncertainty," Papers 1707.04475, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    4. Marcel Nutz, 2014. "Robust Superhedging with Jumps and Diffusion," Papers 1407.1674, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2015.
    5. Dylan Possamai & Xiaolu Tan & Chao Zhou, 2015. "Stochastic control for a class of nonlinear kernels and applications," Papers 1510.08439, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2017.
    6. Peter Carr & Travis Fisher & Johannes Ruf, 2014. "On the hedging of options on exploding exchange rates," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 115-144, January.
    7. Nutz, Marcel, 2015. "Robust superhedging with jumps and diffusion," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(12), pages 4543-4555.
    8. Felix-Benedikt Liebrich & Marco Maggis & Gregor Svindland, 2020. "Model Uncertainty: A Reverse Approach," Papers 2004.06636, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    9. David Criens & Lars Niemann, 2022. "Robust utility maximization with nonlinear continuous semimartingales," Papers 2206.14015, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    10. Martin Herdegen & Dörte Kreher, 2022. "Bubbles in discrete-time models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 899-925, October.
    11. Constantinos Kardaras, 2012. "Valuation and parities for exchange options," Papers 1206.3220, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2014.
    12. Jarrow, Robert & Protter, Philip, 2012. "Discrete versus continuous time models: Local martingales and singular processes in asset pricing theory," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 58-62.
    13. David Criens & Lars Niemann, 2023. "Robust utility maximization with nonlinear continuous semimartingales," Mathematics and Financial Economics, Springer, volume 17, number 5, June.
    14. Bruno Bouchard & Xiaolu Tan, 2021. "A quasi-sure optional decomposition and super-hedging result on the Skorokhod space," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 505-528, July.
    15. José Carlos Dias & João Pedro Vidal Nunes & Aricson Cruz, 2020. "A note on options and bubbles under the CEV model: implications for pricing and hedging," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 249-272, October.
    16. Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Marcel Nutz, 2016. "A Risk-Neutral Equilibrium Leading to Uncertain Volatility Pricing," Papers 1612.09152, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
    17. Patrick Beissner, 2019. "Coherent-Price Systems and Uncertainty-Neutral Valuation," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-18, September.
    18. Marcel Nutz, 2013. "Utility Maximization under Model Uncertainty in Discrete Time," Papers 1307.3597, arXiv.org.
    19. Daniel Bartl & Michael Kupper & Ariel Neufeld, 2020. "Duality Theory for Robust Utility Maximisation," Papers 2007.08376, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2021.
    20. Li, Xue-Mei, 2017. "Strict local martingales: Examples," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 65-68.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1602.05471. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.