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Effective Measure of Endogeneity for the Autoregressive Conditional Duration Point Processes via Mapping to the Self-Excited Hawkes Process

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  • Vladimir Filimonov
  • Spencer Wheatley
  • Didier Sornette
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    Abstract

    In order to disentangle the internal dynamics from exogenous factors within the Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACD) model, we present an effective measure of endogeneity. Inspired from the Hawkes model, this measure is defined as the average fraction of events that are triggered due to internal feedback mechanisms within the total population. We provide a direct comparison of the Hawkes and ACD models based on numerical simulations and show that our effective measure of endogeneity for the ACD can be mapped onto the "branching ratio" of the Hawkes model.

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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1306.2245
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by arXiv.org in its series Papers with number 1306.2245.

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    Date of creation: Jun 2013
    Date of revision: Jun 2014
    Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1306.2245

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    Web page: http://arxiv.org/

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