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New evidence on state dependence in unemployment histories

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Author Info
Jose Maria Arranz ()
Juan Muro () (Departamento de Estadística, Estructura económica y O.E.I. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Universidad de Alcalá (Spain).)

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Abstract

Using administrative data records from the Spanish Employment Agency we examine whether or not there is evidence of state dependence in unemployment under benefits in Spanish young workers. For this fact, we use a mixed proportional hazard model that allows for state dependence through lagged duration dependence in order to disentangle the effects of unobserved individual heterogeneity and the true state dependence. We have found evidence that past unemployment experience and unobserved individual components affect the experience of longer future unemployment spells under benefits. However, we appreciate in workers with completed past unemployment spells that the correlation between the duration of succesive unemployment spells is only due to the unobserved components across individuals. Besides, we observe that workers in their second unemployment experience under benefits present higher hazard rates that in their first unemployment experience under benefits.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Programa de doctorado en Economía. Universidad de Alcalá. in its series Doctorado en Economía- documentos de trabajo with number 2/01.

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Length: pages 42
Date of creation: 01 Mar 2001
Date of revision: 01 Mar 2001
Handle: RePEc:alc:alcddt:2/01

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Related research
Keywords: state dependence; unemployment benefits; mixed proportional hazard models; unobserved heterogeneity;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-16.


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