IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ajk/ajkpbs/010.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Stable genius: Estimating the 'Trump effect' on the US economy

Author

Listed:
  • Benjamin Born

    (Frankfurt School of Finance & Management and CEPR Research Affiliate)

  • Gernot Müller

    (University of Tübingen and CEPR Research Fellow)

  • Moritz Schularick

    (University of Bonn, CEPR Research Fellow, Member of the Academy of Sciences of Berlin-Brandenburg)

Abstract

Growth and employment in the US have been robust over the past 18 months, and President Trump frequently takes personal credit for these trends. This column explores how the US economy would have evolved without Trump. An analysis shows no difference between the post-election performance of the US economy under Trump and a synthetic ‘doppelganger’ US economy without Trump, suggesting that there has been no ‘Trump effect’.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin Born & Gernot Müller & Moritz Schularick, 2018. "Stable genius: Estimating the 'Trump effect' on the US economy," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 010, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:ajk:ajkpbs:010
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econtribute.de/RePEc/ajk/ajkpbs/ECONtribute_PB_010_2020.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2020
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ajk:ajkpbs:010. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ECONtribute Office (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.econtribute.de .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.