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On the Relationship between Borrower and Bank risk

Author

Listed:
  • Yuliyan Mitkov

    (University of Bonn)

  • Ulrich Schüwer

    (Goethe University Frankfurt)

Abstract

We use tools from survival analysis to study the equilibrium probability of bank failure in a model with imperfect correlation in loan defaults where a systematic risk factor and idiosyncratic frailty factors govern borrower credit worth. We derive several surprising results: in equilibrium, a bank can be more likely to fail with less risky than with more risky borrowers. In addition, the equilibrium relationship between borrower and bank risk can be fundamentally altered by a greater dispersion of the frailty factors, similar to how mixing items of different durability can fundamentally change the overall aging pattern.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuliyan Mitkov & Ulrich Schüwer, 2024. "On the Relationship between Borrower and Bank risk," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 294, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:ajk:ajkdps:294
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    File URL: https://www.econtribute.de/RePEc/ajk/ajkdps/ECONtribute_294_2024.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2024
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Correlated defaults; borrower heterogeneity; bank failure; survival analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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