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Estimaciones Quinquenales del PIB Estatal Industrial en México durante 1930-1965, a partir de Información Censal

Author

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  • Wilfrido Ruiz-Ochoa

    (Universidad de Granada, Granada, Spain)

Abstract

Se detalla el procedimiento para elaborar estimaciones quinquenales del PIB estatal industrial en México, durante un periodo en el que se carece de información oficial al respecto: 1930-1965. Las estimaciones se desglosan a nivel de rama, para lo cual se siguen métodos indirectos sustentados fundamentalmente en información de los censos industriales de la época. Se propone un método de Asignación Geográfica Relativa del Producto Interno Bruto –que aquí se le denomina AGERP–, que permiten en forma controlada, reducir los sesgos que pudieran presentarse ante los problemas censales más comunes, como son: falta de proporcionalidad y representatividad, errores de medida, cobertura incompleta, excesiva agregación geográfica, campo y unidad censal inadecuados, y otros. Después de validar las estimaciones –a través de su correlación con indicadores auxiliares que se comportan en forma similar a la actividad económica–, se concluye que mediante este método, es factible estimar el PIB estatal industrial en forma adecuada, y que las estimaciones que se han realizado con metodologías similares pueden ser mejoradas.

Suggested Citation

  • Wilfrido Ruiz-Ochoa, 2014. "Estimaciones Quinquenales del PIB Estatal Industrial en México durante 1930-1965, a partir de Información Censal," Documentos de Trabajo (DT-AEHE) 1418, Asociación Española de Historia Económica.
    • Handle: RePEc:ahe:dtaehe:1418
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    Keywords

    Palabras clave: contabilidad regional; producto interno bruto estatal; estadísticas regionales históricas.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • P44 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - National Income, Product, and Expenditure; Money; Inflation
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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