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Efeitos da rodada de Doha nas regiões brasileiras: uma análise de equilíbrio geral com PAEG

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  • Trotter, Ian Michael

Abstract

Este estudo pretende estimar os efeitos de possíveis resultados das negociações da rodada de Doha nas cinco regiões brasileiras usando um modelo de equilíbrio geral. As simulações sugerem um aumento do bem-estar mundial equivalente a USD 826 bilhões se as tarifas de importação e subsídios a exportação desaparecem inteiramente em todo mundo, com um aumento de USD 19 bilhões no Brasil. Porém, as simulações mostram que os ganhos beneficiam principalmente as regiões sudeste e sul. Enquanto simulações sem mobilidade de fatores primários dentro do Brasil mostram aumentos no bem-estar e no PIB em todas as regiões brasileiras, as simulações com livre mobilidade dos fatores trabalho e capital no Brasil sugerem uma redução no bem-estar nas regiões centroeste, norte e nordeste, e uma redução no PIB das regiões centroeste e norte.

Suggested Citation

  • Trotter, Ian Michael, 2016. "Efeitos da rodada de Doha nas regiões brasileiras: uma análise de equilíbrio geral com PAEG," Working Papers in Applied Economics 233830, Universidade Federal de Vicosa, Departamento de Economia Rural.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ufvdwp:233830
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.233830
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    International Development; International Relations/Trade;

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