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Representative Farms Economic Outlook for the December 2006 FAPRI/AFPC Baseline

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Author Info

  • Outlaw, Joe L.
  • Richardson, James W.
  • Knapek, George M.
  • Raulston, J. Marc
  • Herbst, Brian K.
  • Fumasi, Roland J.
  • Anderson, David P.
  • Klose, Steven L.
  • Zimmel, Peter

Abstract

Under the December 2006 Baseline, 25 of the 65 crop farms are considered in good liquidity condition (less than a 25 percent chance of negative ending cash in 2011). Five crop farms have between a 25 percent and a 50 percent likelihood of negative ending cash. The remaining 35 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent chance of negative ending cash. Additionally, 33 of the 65 crop farms are considered in good equity position (less than a 25 percent chance of decreasing real net worth during the study period). Eight crop farms have between a 25 percent and 50 percent likelihood of losing real net worth, and 24 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent probability of decreasing real net worth. The following discussion provides an overall evaluation by commodity considering both liquidity and equity measures.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Texas A&M University, Agricultural and Food Policy Center in its series Working Papers with number 42089.

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Date of creation: Dec 2006
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Handle: RePEc:ags:tamfwp:42089

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Keywords: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries;

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