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Apontamentos Sobre As Tendências Do Preço Do Frango De Corte No Brasil

Author

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  • De Lima, Jandir Ferrera
  • Piacenti, Carlos Alberto
  • Alves, Lucir Reinaldo
  • Piffer, Moacir Piffer

Abstract

O objetivo desse artigo é analisar o acompanhamento e previsão dos preços futuros do frango de corte através do modelo ARIMA de previsão de séries temporais. Assim, esse artigo fornece subsídios para produtores sobre as tendências de mercado e na minimização de situações de risco e incerteza no planejamento da produção. Com base nos resultados obtidos de previsão de preços a partir do modelo ARIMA(16,1,2), concluiu-se que o modelo apresentou um bom desempenho de predição. Isso resultou numa diferença média de 0,71%, nos seis meses analisados, percentual esse considerado satisfatório em modelos de previsão de preços.

Suggested Citation

  • De Lima, Jandir Ferrera & Piacenti, Carlos Alberto & Alves, Lucir Reinaldo & Piffer, Moacir Piffer, 2006. "Apontamentos Sobre As Tendências Do Preço Do Frango De Corte No Brasil," 44th Congress, July 23-27, 2006, Fortaleza, Ceará, Brazil 144693, Sociedade Brasileira de Economia, Administracao e Sociologia Rural (SOBER).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:sobr06:144693
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.144693
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    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis;

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