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Environmental triage decisions during a drought

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Author Info
Gorddard, Russell
Connor, Jeff
Ranjan, Ram

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Abstract

The Murray Darling Basin Current is currently in drought. There are low water levels in most dams, and increased uncertainty about future rainfall. As a result management of the ecosystems in the basin that depend on river flows involves some hard decisions about what assets to save and what assets to let go. This paper models this triage problem using a stochastic and dynamic programming approach. This model is used to identify how optimal management is affected by hysteretic and irreversible effects of drought on ecosystem assets and uncertainty about future climate.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society in its series 2009 Conference (53rd), February 11-13, 2009, Cairns, Australia with number 47631.

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Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:ags:aare09:47631

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Related research
Keywords: Triage; irreversibility; climate change;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-11.

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