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Determining Optimal Burning Schedules For Improvements Of Macartney Rose-Infested-Rangeland Under Certainty And Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Garoian, G.
  • Conner, J. R.
  • Scifres, C. J.

Abstract

Macartney rose is a range management problem on approximately 500,000 acres of highly productive rangeland in southeast Texas. Roller chopping followed by prescribed burning is an economically effective treatment. However, there is a relatively high degree of risk associated with implementation of an effective burn. A methodology is developed to account for this uncertainty in a linear programming model designed to select optimal burning schedules. Model results indicate that consideration of uncertainty substantially affects net returns and optimal burning schedules. Low probabilities of successful burns produce law net returns and optimal burning schedules with frequent burning. Higher probabilities result in higher returns and less frequent burning.

Suggested Citation

  • Garoian, G. & Conner, J. R. & Scifres, C. J., 1984. "Determining Optimal Burning Schedules For Improvements Of Macartney Rose-Infested-Rangeland Under Certainty And Uncertainty," 1984 Annual Meeting, August 5-8, Ithaca, New York 278978, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea84:278978
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.278978
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    Keywords

    Land Economics/Use; Risk and Uncertainty;

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