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Estimating the Trade Duration of Kazakhstan’s Wheat Exports

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  • Imamverdiyev, Nizami
  • Anders, Sven
  • Glauben, Thomas
  • Perekhozhuk, Oleksandr
  • Prehn, Sören

Abstract

The objective of this study is to analyze the trade duration patterns of Kazakhstan’s wheat exports between 1995 and 2012. Using 4-digit HS code trade flow data we employ a discrete-time duration framework and probit models explicitly testing for unobserved heterogeneity across bilateral trade relationships. The empirical results indicate that trade cost, local production factors, price competitiveness and experience significantly explain the short duration of Kazakhstan’s wheat exports. The results imply that the stability and thus sustainability of Kazakhstan’s wheat exports critically depend on the market share of Russian wheat exports, abolishing restrictive export policies, and maintaining good trade relationships with traditional trading partners, especially post-Soviet Union economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Imamverdiyev, Nizami & Anders, Sven & Glauben, Thomas & Perekhozhuk, Oleksandr & Prehn, Sören, 2015. "Estimating the Trade Duration of Kazakhstan’s Wheat Exports," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205391, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea15:205391
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.205391
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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade;

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