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Income Growth, Urbanization, and Food Demand in China

Author

Listed:
  • Zheng, Zhihao
  • Henneberry, Shida R.
  • Zhao, Yinyu
  • Gao, Ying

Abstract

A complete demand system is estimated separately for urban and rural residents using a two-stage AIDS-QUAIDS model and pooled provincial and time-series data from 2000 to 2010. The estimated models are then used to project China’s rural and urban food demand in the future. Results suggest that with the continued rise in per capita income and urbanization rate, the budget shares of food grains and vegetables are expected to decrease while the shares of foods with animal origin and other high-valued foods are expected to rise. Moreover, urban residents will dominate the food demand in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Zheng, Zhihao & Henneberry, Shida R. & Zhao, Yinyu & Gao, Ying, 2015. "Income Growth, Urbanization, and Food Demand in China," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205105, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea15:205105
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.205105
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    Cited by:

    1. Rahman, Kazi Tamim & Shanoyan, Aleksan & Hovhannisyan, Vardges, 2020. "Pre-Committed Demand for Food in Bangladesh: Implications for Agri-Food Industry Stakeholders," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304644, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Yingying Huang & Hui Wang & Xu Tian, 2016. "Changing Diet Quality in China during 2004–2011," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Kuhlgatz, Christian H. & Huang, Jiaqi & Antonides, Gerrit & Nie, Fengying, 2018. "The Effect of Food Prices and Own-produced Food on Food Security of Chinese Rural Households," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273988, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Rahman, Kazi Tamim & Shanoyan, Aleksan & Hovhannisyan, Vardges, 2021. "Food Commodity Price Hikes, Public Policy, and Consumer Welfare: Lessons from Bangladesh," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 314076, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Ikudayisi, Adesola & Okoruwa, Victor O., 2021. "Urban Differential Effects on Food Demand in Nigeria," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315142, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Khondoker A. Mottaleb & Dil Bahadur Rahut, 2018. "Household production and consumption patterns of Teff in Ethiopia," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 668-684, June.
    7. Qian Sun & Xiaoyun Li & Dil Bahadur Rahut, 2021. "Gender Differences in Nutritional Intake among Rural-Urban Migrants in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(18), pages 1-17, September.
    8. Acga Cheng & Murthazar Naim Raai & Nurul Amalina Mohd Zain & Festo Massawe & Ajit Singh & Wan Abd Al Qadr Imad Wan-Mohtar, 2019. "In search of alternative proteins: unlocking the potential of underutilized tropical legumes," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 11(6), pages 1205-1215, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis;
    All these keywords.

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