Working Paper 137 - Does Aid Unpredictability Weaken Governance? New Evidence from Developing Countries
AbstractThis paper revisitates the effects of aid on governance from a different prospect, by upholding that aid unpredictability can potentially increase corruption in recipient countries through increased incentives from political leaders that are risk averse and corrupt, to engage in rent-seeking activities. Empirical investigation with data from 67 developing countries over1984-2004 provides supportive evidence that higher aid unpredictability is associated with more corruption as measured by a synthetic index. Coherently with some studies, we also found that aid dependency is on average associated with less corruption. These findings are a supplementary advocacy for the need to have a better predictability of aid.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by African Development Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 328.
Date of creation: 20 Sep 2011
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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-10-09 (All new papers)
- NEP-CWA-2011-10-09 (Central & Western Asia)
- NEP-DEV-2011-10-09 (Development)
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