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Crecimiento Económico, PTF y PIB Potencial en Argentina

Author

Listed:
  • Ivan Baumann Fonay
  • Luciano Cohan

    (Secretaría de Política Económica, Ministerio de Hacienda)

Abstract

El documento descompone las fuentes de crecimiento económico en Argentina y provee estimaciones de la Productividad Total de los Factores (PTF), el PIB potencial y la brecha del producto para el período 1993-2017. Para realizar el ejercicio de contabilidad de crecimiento se utiliza el enfoque de la función de producción agregada. Se proveen estimaciones de la PTF observada y potencial para luego computar el PIB potencial y la brecha del producto. Se presenta un análisis de sensibilidad y robustez de los resultados y se computa la tasa de crecimiento económico sostenible en el largo plazo. Se concluye que uno de los desafíos que afronta Argentina es profundizar el patrón de crecimiento de tipo intensivo para asegurar tasas de crecimiento sostenibles en el largo plazo.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivan Baumann Fonay & Luciano Cohan, 2018. "Crecimiento Económico, PTF y PIB Potencial en Argentina," Working Papers 0001, Secretaría de Política Económica, Ministerio de Hacienda, revised Jun 2018.
  • Handle: RePEc:abt:wpaper:0001
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    File URL: https://www.argentina.gob.ar/sites/default/files/crecimiento-economico-ptf-y-pib-potencial-en-argentina_1.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2018
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth accounting; TFP; Potencial GDP; Output gap; Argentina;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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