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Future Problems in Logistics Due to Demographic Change

In: Next Generation Supply Chains: Trends and Opportunities. Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL), Vol. 18

Author

Listed:
  • Klumpp, Matthias
  • Bioly, Sascha
  • Witte, Christian

Abstract

This research paper describes the impact of demographic change on the transport and logistics sector. Therefore, besides a literature review and a management option discussion in the end, the paper contains the following two main sections and methods: First an empirical report of a 2014 survey conducted in the research project "DO.WERT" regarding the working conditions of truck drivers in Germany (working hours, wages, motivation, qualification; n=483). Second, an optimization prognosis (GAMS conceptualization) for the German truck driver labor market in 2030 including increased traffic volumes, restricted carbon dioxide emissions as well as a market-based wage cost function draft. Existing research has shown that major disruptions in the "triangle" of increasing traffic volumes, decreasing populations and also politically intended decreases in carbon dioxide emissions have to be expected, for example for logistics wage and also freight rates markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Klumpp, Matthias & Bioly, Sascha & Witte, Christian, 2014. "Future Problems in Logistics Due to Demographic Change," Chapters from the Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL), in: Kersten, Wolfgang & Blecker, Thorsten & Ringle, Christian M. (ed.), Next Generation Supply Chains: Trends and Opportunities. Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL), Vol. 18, volume 18, pages 51-68, Hamburg University of Technology (TUHH), Institute of Business Logistics and General Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:hiclch:209200
    DOI: 10.15480/882.1188
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kutlu, Cigdem & Bioly, Sascha & Klumpp, Matthias, 2013. "Demografic change in the CEP sector," ild Schriftenreihe 36, FOM Hochschule für Oekonomie & Management, Institut für Logistik- & Dienstleistungsmanagement (ild).
    2. Bioly, Sascha & Sandhaus, Gregor & Klumpp, Matthias, 2014. "Wertorientierte Maßnahmen für eine Gestaltung des demografischen Wandels in Logistik und Verkehr," ild Schriftenreihe 42, FOM Hochschule für Oekonomie & Management, Institut für Logistik- & Dienstleistungsmanagement (ild).
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