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The Erm Realignment Probabilities: Estimates Using Option Prices

In: Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics

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  • Allan M. Malz

    (Markets Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, USA)

Abstract

The following sections are included:IntroductionThe Crisis of the EMSMeasuring the Credibility of ERM Exchange RatesCurrency Option Prices in the Presence of Jump RiskEstimates of Realignment Probabilities Using Option PricesDataEstimation procedureThe Implied Distribution of Future Exchange Rates and Realignment ProbabilitiesConclusionsReferences

Suggested Citation

  • Allan M. Malz, 1998. "The Erm Realignment Probabilities: Estimates Using Option Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Zhaohui Chen (ed.), Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics, chapter 8, pages 138-156, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789812812551_0008
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