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Option Prices And The Probability Distribution Of Exchange Rates

In: Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics

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  • Allan M. Malz

    (Markets Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, USA)

Abstract

The following sections are included:IntroductionOption Prices and the Probability Distribution of Future Asset PricesConstructing Elementary Contingent Claims from Option PricesThe Distributional Hypothesis of the Black–Scholes ModelKurtosis, Skew and Option PricesMethods of Extracting Probability DensitiesImplied Probability Distributions and the Risk PremiumConclusionsAppendix: Proof of Proposition 1References

Suggested Citation

  • Allan M. Malz, 1998. "Option Prices And The Probability Distribution Of Exchange Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Zhaohui Chen (ed.), Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics, chapter 7, pages 108-137, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789812812551_0007
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    Cited by:

    1. Vergote, Olivier & Puigvert Gutiérrez, Josep Maria, 2012. "Interest rate expectations and uncertainty during ECB Governing Council days: Evidence from intraday implied densities of 3-month EURIBOR," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 2804-2823.

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