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From Impasse to PIVOT

In: Dynamic Decisions Energy PIVOT, Adaptive Moves, Winning BOUnCE

Author

Listed:
  • Ricardo G Barcelona
  • Franz Heukamp

Abstract

Energy transitions follow recursive processes that are tentative, operating in systems under flux and subject to ambiguities. Notwithstanding this reality, managers and policy default to mitigating risks by reasserting predictability in outcomes rather than creating arenas to nurture emerging opportunities. As networks and resources are continually reconfigured, managers and policy err in employing static tools and mindsets to inform their strategic or policy moves. Perhaps, not surprisingly, outcomes deviate from what managers expect, while policy produces results opposed to its objectives. To remedy these paradoxes, a mindset transition, often ignored, would be needed. This enables managers to adaptively navigate the vagaries of interacting factors within dynamic markets, logistics, and technologies. To strategically respond to these challenges, managers can PIVOT. By informing their decisions with strategic insights, managers could repurpose resources, reframe strategic moves, and reconfigure processes and networks to outcompete rivals. By making these moves, managers could create arenas in which emerging opportunities could flourish.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo G Barcelona & Franz Heukamp, 2022. "From Impasse to PIVOT," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Dynamic Decisions Energy PIVOT, Adaptive Moves, Winning BOUnCE, chapter 1, pages 3-73, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9781800611979_0001
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energy; Energy Investments; Option Games; Real Options; Climate Finance; Sustainable Investment; Dynamic Decisions; Decision Uncertainties; Renewable Energy; Fossil Fuel; Carbon Tax; Energy Transition; Behavioural Economics; Political Economy; Financial Economics; Strategy and Competition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • P48 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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