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Criteria for Best Architecture Selection in Artificial Neural Networks

In: MODELING AND ADVANCED TECHNIQUES IN MODERN ECONOMICS

Author

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  • Çağatay Bal
  • Serdar Demir

Abstract

Architecture selection in artificial neural networks is a critical process which determines a satisfactory neural network model(s) that will lead to the most accurate results. The architecture that minimizes the difference between the target values of the neural network and the predictions produced by the model represents the best forecasts, namely the most appropriate model. In the literature, there are many common criteria for measuring model performance. In addition, some modified criteria, called weighted criteria, are suggested by combining the common criteria. In this study, the performances of the criteria available in the literature are compared by using both simulated and real-world datasets. We used three different exchange rate time series, four simulated time series with different structures and three well-known real-world datasets. The results show that the performances of the unweighted criteria vary depending on the data structure. However, the weighted criteria have performances as good as the popular criteria or better.

Suggested Citation

  • Çağatay Bal & Serdar Demir, 2022. "Criteria for Best Architecture Selection in Artificial Neural Networks," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Çağdaş Hakan Aladağ & Nihan Potas (ed.), MODELING AND ADVANCED TECHNIQUES IN MODERN ECONOMICS, chapter 12, pages 233-294, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9781800611757_0012
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    Keywords

    Harmonic Regression; Periodograms; Consumer Price Index; Food Inflation; Turkey; Gaussian Distribution; Europe Union; GDP; Panel Data; Spatial Regression; Measurement Errors; Nonlinear Time Series; Chaotic Time Series; Weibull Distribution; Location Parameters; Fiducial Approach; Hypothesis Testing; Green Swan; Financial Stability; Annex II Countries; Financial Time Series; Kernels; Stock Index; Machine Learning; Statistical Learning; Optimization; WSAR Algorithm; Deep Neural Networks; Phyton; Parameter Estimation; COVID-19; Clustering Analyses; Artificial Neural Networks; Performance Criteria; Time Series Forecasting; Statistical Inference;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

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