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Sales Forecasting with Conjoint Analysis by Addressing Its Key Assumptions with Sequential Game Theory and Macro-Flow Modeling

In: Conjoint Measurement

Author

Listed:
  • David B. Whitlark

    (Brigham Young University)

  • Scott M. Smith

    (Brigham Young University)

Abstract

Conjoint analysis is a research tool for assessing market potential, predicting market share and forecasting sales of new or improved products and services. In general, conjoint analysis follows a two-step process, i.e., (1) estimating utilities for varying levels of product features and (2) simulating marketplace preferences for established, improved, and/or new products. Conjoint analysis was introduced in the 1970s (Green and Rao 1971) and by 1980 had logged more than 1000 commercial applications (Cattin and Wittink 1982). During the 1980s usage increased tenfold (Wittink and Cattin 1989). Today it may be the most widely used quantitative product development tool in the U.S. and Europe (Wittink, Vriens, and Burhenne 1994).

Suggested Citation

  • David B. Whitlark & Scott M. Smith, 2007. "Sales Forecasting with Conjoint Analysis by Addressing Its Key Assumptions with Sequential Game Theory and Macro-Flow Modeling," Springer Books, in: Anders Gustafsson & Andreas Herrmann & Frank Huber (ed.), Conjoint Measurement, edition 0, chapter 18, pages 363-370, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-540-71404-0_18
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-71404-0_18
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    Cited by:

    1. Han-Kuang Tien, 2017. "How Much Should Managers Pay for Celebrity Endorsements?," International Journal of Marketing Studies, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(2), pages 68-77, April.

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