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A Risk Based Approach for the Solvency Capital Requirement for Health Plans

In: Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance

Author

Listed:
  • Fabio Baione

    (Sapienza University of Rome)

  • Davide Biancalana

    (Sapienza University of Rome)

  • Paolo De Angelis

    (Sapienza University of Rome)

Abstract

The study deals with the assessment of risk measures for Health Plans in order to assess the Solvency Capital Requirement. For the estimation of the individual health care expenditure for several episode types, we suggest an original approach based on a three-part regression model. We propose three Generalized Linear Models (GLM) to assess claim counts, the allocation of each claim to a specific episode and the severity average expenditures respectively. One of the main practical advantages of our proposal is the reduction of the regression models compared to a traditional approach, where several two-part models for each episode types are requested. As most health plans require co-payments or co-insurance, considering at this stage the non-linearity condition of the reimbursement function, we adopt a Montecarlo simulation to assess the health plan costs. The simulation approach provides the probability distribution of the Net Asset Value of the Health Plan and the estimate of several risk measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabio Baione & Davide Biancalana & Paolo De Angelis, 2021. "A Risk Based Approach for the Solvency Capital Requirement for Health Plans," Springer Books, in: Marco Corazza & Manfred Gilli & Cira Perna & Claudio Pizzi & Marilena Sibillo (ed.), Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance, pages 63-69, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-78965-7_11
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-78965-7_11
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    Keywords

    Health; SCR; GLM; Simulation; Risk measure;
    All these keywords.

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