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Developing a Model for Estimating the Home Return of Evacuees Based on the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake Tsunami—Utilizing Mobile Phone GPS Big Data

In: Advances and New Trends in Environmental Informatics

Author

Listed:
  • Yoshiki Ogawa

    (The University of Tokyo)

  • Taisei Sato

    (The University of Tokyo)

  • Yuki Akiyama

    (The University of Tokyo)

  • Ryosuke Shibasaki

    (The University of Tokyo)

  • Yoshihide Sekimoto

    (The University of Tokyo)

Abstract

When considering evacuation center plans for earthquake disasters, it is necessary to know how many people will evacuate in each stage after the disaster over the long term. In this paper, by using mobile phone GPS data and tsunami survey data for the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake Tsunami disaster, we developed a home-return model. The model can estimate the rate of people who will have returned home any number of days after an earthquake disaster. As a result, we obtained high the root-mean-square error (RMSE) accuracy of the model. The study leads to a new understanding of the quantitative relationship between people returning home after evacuation and local vulnerability and tsunami hazards.

Suggested Citation

  • Yoshiki Ogawa & Taisei Sato & Yuki Akiyama & Ryosuke Shibasaki & Yoshihide Sekimoto, 2018. "Developing a Model for Estimating the Home Return of Evacuees Based on the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake Tsunami—Utilizing Mobile Phone GPS Big Data," Progress in IS, in: Hans-Joachim Bungartz & Dieter Kranzlmüller & Volker Weinberg & Jens Weismüller & Volker Wohlgemuth (ed.), Advances and New Trends in Environmental Informatics, pages 227-240, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:prochp:978-3-319-99654-7_15
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-99654-7_15
    as

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