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Bracing for Artificial General Intelligence

In: Accelerating Economic Growth

Author

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  • Jakub Growiec

    (SGH Warsaw School of Economics)

Abstract

There are strong economic incentives to develop increasingly potent artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms. This development process may culminate in superhuman artificial general intelligence (AGI), “the last invention we will ever make” (I. J. Good). The AGI is the ultimate knife-edge of the human civilization: both a promise of unimaginable prosperity and an existential threat. A nascent AGI may undergo an intelligence explosion, a cascade of cumulative improvements in cognitive capabilities, allowing it to dramatically improve its optimization power. There are meaningful differences between man-made AI algorithms and biological life which has developed through Darwinian evolution. These considerations have a bearing on the conditions for the doomsday scenario and the ones needed for the emergence of a friendly AGI. The current chapter also touches upon the related question of transhumanism, focusing specifically on human–AI integration. Finally, it briefly elaborates on alternative future scenarios in which AGI never comes into existence.

Suggested Citation

  • Jakub Growiec, 2022. "Bracing for Artificial General Intelligence," Frontiers in Economic History, in: Accelerating Economic Growth, chapter 0, pages 155-179, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:frochp:978-3-031-07195-9_11
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-07195-9_11
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