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Minimax Risk in Estimating Kink Threshold and Testing Continuity

In: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Theory

Author

Listed:
  • Javier Hidalgo
  • Heejun Lee
  • Jungyoon Lee
  • Myung Hwan Seo

Abstract

The authors derive a risk lower bound in estimating the threshold parameter without knowing whether the threshold regression model is continuous or not. The bound goes to zero as the sample sizengrows only at the cube-root rate. Motivated by this finding, the authors develop a continuity test for the threshold regression model and a bootstrap to compute itsp-values. The validity of the bootstrap is established, and its finite-sample property is explored through Monte Carlo simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Hidalgo & Heejun Lee & Jungyoon Lee & Myung Hwan Seo, 2023. "Minimax Risk in Estimating Kink Threshold and Testing Continuity," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Theory, volume 45, pages 233-259, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:aecozz:s0731-90532023000045a008
    DOI: 10.1108/S0731-90532023000045A008
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Continuity test; kink; risk lower bound; unknown threshold; bootstrap; minimax; C12; C13; C24;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models; Threshold Regression Models

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