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Prognose für 2014 und 2015: Aufschwung bleibt wegen Konsumschwäche flach

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  • Stefan Schiman

Abstract

Frühindikatoren signalisieren für Österreich eine baldige Konjunkturbelebung. Diese wird vor allem durch Nachholinvestitionen und eine höhere Exportnachfrage aus wichtigen Zielländern wie Deutschland und den USA gestützt. Der Konsum bleibt wegen der mäßigen Einkommensentwicklung, der angespannten Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und der Konsolidierung der öffentlichen Haushalte schwach, die Konjunkturdynamik daher eingeschränkt. Die Teuerung nimmt im Prognosezeitraum leicht ab, die Arbeitslosenquote erhöht sich 2014 noch.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Schiman, 2013. "Prognose für 2014 und 2015: Aufschwung bleibt wegen Konsumschwäche flach," WIFO Economic Outlook, WIFO, number 47083, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wkprog:47083
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    WIFO-Konjunkturprognose;

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