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Multifractal Analysis With Detrending Weighted Average Algorithm Of Historical Volatility

Author

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  • JIAN WANG

    (School of Mathematics and Statistics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, P. R. China)

  • WEI SHAO

    (School of Economics, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing 210023, P. R. China)

Abstract

In this paper, we develop the multifractal detrending weighted average algorithm of historical volatility (MF-DHV) for one-dimensional multifractal measure based on the classical multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). In the calculation process of getting a local trend for MF-DHV, historical volatility is taken to develop an moving average algorithm, which is different from the simple moving average function in multifractal detrended moving average (MF-DMA). We assess the performance of three methods such as MF-DFA, MF-DMA, and MF-DHV based on the p-model multiplicative cascading constructed time series. The computational results show that all the estimated generalized Hurst exponent H(q), the scaling exponent τ(q), and the singularity spectrum f(α) of MF-DHV are in good agreement with the theoretical values. In addition, we also calculate the standard deviations of Herr and τerr for three methods, and the lowest errors in MF-DHV provides the most accurate estimates. To avoid the accidental selection of parameters, we change the total length of the generated multifractal simulation data and p-value, respectively. It is found that in all the cases, the MF-DHV outperforms the other two methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Jian Wang & Wei Shao, 2021. "Multifractal Analysis With Detrending Weighted Average Algorithm Of Historical Volatility," FRACTALS (fractals), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 29(05), pages 1-11, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:fracta:v:29:y:2021:i:05:n:s0218348x21501930
    DOI: 10.1142/S0218348X21501930
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Jian & Huang, Menghao & Wu, Xinpei & Kim, Junseok, 2023. "A local fitting based multifractal detrend fluctuation analysis method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 611(C).
    2. Wang, Jian & Huang, Menghao & Zhang, Yudong & Kim, Junseok, 2022. "Modification of multifractal analysis based on multiplicative cascade image," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    3. Zhang, Rui & Jia, Cairang & Wang, Jian, 2022. "Text emotion classification system based on multifractal methods," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    MF-DHV; MF-DFA; MF-DMA; p-Model;
    All these keywords.

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