IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/ccexxx/v14y2023i03ns2010007823500124.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Regional Economic Impacts Of Climate Change On Family Farming And Large-Scale Agriculture In Brazil: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach

Author

Listed:
  • TARIK MARQUES DO PRADO TANURE

    (Programa de Pós-Doutorado do Instituto de Economia e Relações Internacionais – IERI, Universidade Federal de Uberlândia – UFU, Avenida João Naves de à vila, 2121, 38408-144 Uberlândia, MG, Brazil2Núcleo de Estudos em Modelagem Econômica e Ambiental Aplicada - NEMEA, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais - UFMG, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, 31270-901 Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil)

  • EDSON PAULO DOMINGUES

    (Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional – CEDEPLAR, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais – UFMG, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, 31270-901 Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil)

  • ALINE DE SOUZA MAGALHÃES

    (Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional – CEDEPLAR, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais – UFMG, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, 31270-901 Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the regional economic impacts of climate change (CC) on the agricultural productivity of crops linked to family farming and large-scale agriculture in Brazil. Variations in agricultural productivity estimated according to CC scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 [IPCC (2014). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Core Writing Team, RK Pachauri and LA Meyer (eds.), IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151pp.], between 2021 and 2050, were used as inputs in the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model AGRO-BR to project the economic impacts of the phenomenon. The model presents regional configuration composed of the 27 Brazilian Federation Units and 42 agricultural sectors, disaggregated into family farming and large-scale agriculture sectors. The results indicate that the North and Northeast regions would be negatively affected, Midwest and Southeast would suffer moderate impacts, while the South region would benefit mostly. São Paulo, Paraná, and Rio Grande do Sul would show economic growth, softening the negative impacts on national GDP. Regional disparities and the deterioration of food security conditions could increase in Brazil.

Suggested Citation

  • Tarik Marques Do Prado Tanure & Edson Paulo Domingues & Aline De Souza Magalhãƒes, 2023. "The Regional Economic Impacts Of Climate Change On Family Farming And Large-Scale Agriculture In Brazil: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(03), pages 1-33, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:ccexxx:v:14:y:2023:i:03:n:s2010007823500124
    DOI: 10.1142/S2010007823500124
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S2010007823500124
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S2010007823500124?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; family farming; agricultural productivity; computable general equilibrium models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods
    • R22 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Other Demand
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:ccexxx:v:14:y:2023:i:03:n:s2010007823500124. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/cce/cce.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.