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Managerial overconfidence, overinvestment, and R&D spillover

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  • Chaofan Li
  • Pin Zhou
  • Yi Li

Abstract

This paper examines whether a firm will select an overoptimistic manager when a cost‐reduction investment has a spillover effect. We consider a Cournot competition model where R&D investment ex ante occurs before the process of product market competition. Our analysis reveals that there exists a unique and symmetric equilibrium for firms to delegate overoptimistic managers. We show that only when the spillover effect is sufficiently high do firms benefit from delegation. Furthermore, the equilibrium confidence level and investment decision first decrease and then increase as the spillover parameter changes. As the initial production cost increases, the equilibrium performance becomes worse.

Suggested Citation

  • Chaofan Li & Pin Zhou & Yi Li, 2019. "Managerial overconfidence, overinvestment, and R&D spillover," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 858-861, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:mgtdec:v:40:y:2019:i:7:p:858-861
    DOI: 10.1002/mde.3051
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    Cited by:

    1. Jaehong Lee & Eunsoo Kim, 2020. "The Influence of Corporate Environmental Responsibility on Overinvestment Behavior: Evidence from South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-20, March.
    2. Yun Song & Hongqu He & Caiyu Yan, 2022. "Impacts of top management team fault‐line on firm's innovation—Financial slack over‐investment and underinvestment," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(8), pages 3348-3360, December.
    3. Jiong Wu & Feifei Wang & Xing Xu, 2021. "The influence of management team continuation on inefficient investment after family firms inheritance," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 156-169, January.
    4. Dong, Liang & Kot, Hung Wan & Lam, Keith S.K. & Liu, Ming, 2022. "Co-skewness and expected return: Evidence from international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    5. Moritz Mosenhauer, 2022. "Salience and management‐by‐exception," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(8), pages 3685-3697, December.
    6. Jean‐Baptiste Tondji, 2022. "Overconfidence and welfare in a differentiated duopoly," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 751-767, April.

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