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Empirical performance of alternative pricing models of currency options

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  • Ghulam Sarwar
  • Timothy Krehbiel

Abstract

This article examines the out‐of‐sample pricing performance and biases of the Heston’s stochastic volatility and modified Black‐Scholes option pricing models in valuing European currency call options written on British pound. The modified Black‐Scholes model with daily‐revised implied volatilities performs as well as the stochastic volatility model in the aggregate sample. Both models provide close and similar correspondence to actual prices for options trading near‐ or at‐the‐money. The prices generated from the stochastic volatility model are subject to fewer and weaker aggregate pricing biases than are the prices from the modified Black‐Scholes model. Thus, the stochastic volatility model may provide improved estimates of the measures of option price sensitivities to key option parameters that may lead to more effective hedging and speculative strategies using currency options. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 20:265–291, 2000

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  • Ghulam Sarwar & Timothy Krehbiel, 2000. "Empirical performance of alternative pricing models of currency options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 265-291, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:20:y:2000:i:3:p:265-291
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    Cited by:

    1. Fiorentini, Gabriele & Leon, Angel & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2002. "Estimation and empirical performance of Heston's stochastic volatility model: the case of a thinly traded market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 225-255, March.
    2. Jie-Cao He & Hsing-Hua Chang & Ting-Fu Chen & Shih-Kuei Lin, 2023. "Upside and downside correlated jump risk premia of currency options and expected returns," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-58, December.
    3. Foad Shokrollahi, 2017. "Fractional delta hedging strategy for pricing currency options with transaction costs," Papers 1702.00037, arXiv.org.

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