IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/apsmbi/v25y2009i6p643-663.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Understanding the shape of the mixture failure rate (with engineering and demographic applications)

Author

Listed:
  • Maxim Finkelstein

Abstract

Mixtures of distributions are usually effectively used for modelling heterogeneity. It is well known that mixtures of DFR distributions are always DFR. On the other hand, mixtures of IFR distributions can decrease, at least in some intervals of time. As IFR distributions often model lifetimes governed by ageing processes, the operation of mixing can dramatically change the pattern of ageing. Therefore, the study of the shape of the observed (mixture) failure rate in a heterogeneous setting is important in many applications. We study discrete and continuous mixtures, obtain conditions for the mixture failure rate to tend to the failure rate of the strongest populations and describe asymptotic behaviour as t→∞. Some demographic and engineering examples are considered. The corresponding inverse problem is discussed. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Maxim Finkelstein, 2009. "Understanding the shape of the mixture failure rate (with engineering and demographic applications)," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(6), pages 643-663, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:apsmbi:v:25:y:2009:i:6:p:643-663
    DOI: 10.1002/asmb.815
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/asmb.815
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/asmb.815?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. E. Arjas & I. Norros, 1989. "Change of Life Distribution Via a Hazard Transformation: An Inequality with Application to Minimal Repair," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 14(2), pages 355-361, May.
    2. Maxim Finkelstein & James W. Vaupel, 2006. "The relative tail of longevity and the mean remaining lifetime," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 14(7), pages 111-138.
    3. A. R. Thatcher, 1999. "The long‐term pattern of adult mortality and the highest attained age," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 162(1), pages 5-43.
    4. Francisco J. Samaniego, 2007. "System Signatures and their Applications in Engineering Reliability," International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer, number 978-0-387-71797-5, September.
    5. Maxim Finkelstein, 2008. "Failure Rate Modelling for Reliability and Risk," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, number 978-1-84800-986-8, January.
    6. Eshetu T. Wondmagegnehu, 2004. "On the behavior and shape of mixture failure rates from a family of IFR Weibull distributions," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(4), pages 491-500, June.
    7. David Steinsaltz & Kenneth Wachter, 2006. "Understanding Mortality Rate Deceleration and Heterogeneity," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 19-37.
    8. James Vaupel & Kenneth Manton & Eric Stallard, 1979. "The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 16(3), pages 439-454, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ji Hwan Cha & Maxim Finkelstein, 2012. "Burn-in and the performance quality measures in continuous heterogeneous populations," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 226(4), pages 417-425, August.
    2. Asadi, Majid & Ebrahimi, Nader & Soofi, Ehsan S., 2018. "Optimal hazard models based on partial information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(2), pages 723-733.
    3. Cha, Ji Hwan & Finkelstein, Maxim & Levitin, Gregory, 2021. "Optimal warranty policy with inspection for heterogeneous, stochastically degrading items," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(3), pages 1142-1152.
    4. Finkelstein, Maxim, 2012. "On ordered subpopulations and population mortality at advanced ages," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 81(4), pages 292-299.
    5. Cha, Ji Hwan & Finkelstein, Maxim, 2013. "The failure rate dynamics in heterogeneous populations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 120-128.
    6. M Shafiee & M Finkelstein & S Chukova, 2011. "Burn-in and imperfect preventive maintenance strategies for warranted products," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 225(2), pages 211-218, June.
    7. Maxim S. Finkelstein, 2011. "On ordered subpopulations and population mortality at advanced ages," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2011-022, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    8. Lai, Chin-Diew & Izadi, Muhyiddin, 2012. "Generalized logistic frailty model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(11), pages 1969-1977.
    9. Cha, Ji Hwan & Finkelstein, Maxim, 2011. "Burn-in and the performance quality measures in heterogeneous populations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 273-280, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Maxim S. Finkelstein, 2009. "Understanding the shape of the mixture failure rate (with engineering and demographic applications)," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2009-031, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    2. Annamaria Olivieri & Ermanno Pitacco, 2016. "Frailty and Risk Classification for Life Annuity Portfolios," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-23, October.
    3. Ting Li & James Anderson, 2013. "Shaping human mortality patterns through intrinsic and extrinsic vitality processes," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 28(12), pages 341-372.
    4. Maxim S. Finkelstein, 2011. "On ordered subpopulations and population mortality at advanced ages," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2011-022, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    5. Missov, Trifon I. & Finkelstein, Maxim, 2011. "Admissible mixing distributions for a general class of mixture survival models with known asymptotics," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 64-70.
    6. Cha, Ji Hwan & Finkelstein, Maxim, 2016. "Justifying the Gompertz curve of mortality via the generalized Polya process of shocks," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 54-62.
    7. Kenneth Manton & Igor Akushevich & Alexander Kulminski, 2008. "Human Mortality at Extreme Ages: Data from the NLTCS and Linked Medicare Records," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 137-159.
    8. M S Finkelstein, 2008. "Reliability modelling for biological ageing," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 222(1), pages 1-6, March.
    9. Ji Cha & Maxim S. Finkelstein, 2009. "Stochastically ordered subpopulations and optimal burn-in procedure," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2009-030, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    10. MARK BEBBINGTON & CHIN-DIEW LAI & RIcARDAS ZITIKIS, 2011. "Modelling Deceleration in Senescent Mortality," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 18-37.
    11. Ji Hwan Cha & Maxim Finkelstein, 2012. "Burn-in and the performance quality measures in continuous heterogeneous populations," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 226(4), pages 417-425, August.
    12. Elizabeth Wrigley-Field, 2020. "Multidimensional Mortality Selection: Why Individual Dimensions of Frailty Don’t Act Like Frailty," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 57(2), pages 747-777, April.
    13. Alberto Palloni & Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez, 2017. "Discrete Barker Frailty and Warped Mortality Dynamics at Older Ages," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(2), pages 655-671, April.
    14. Erengul Dodd & Jonathan J. Forster & Jakub Bijak & Peter W. F. Smith, 2018. "Smoothing mortality data: the English Life Tables, 2010–2012," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 181(3), pages 717-735, June.
    15. F. G. Badía & Ji Hwan Cha, 2017. "On bending (down and up) property of reliability measures in mixtures," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 80(4), pages 455-482, May.
    16. Elizabeth Wrigley-Field, 2014. "Mortality Deceleration and Mortality Selection: Three Unexpected Implications of a Simple Model," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 51(1), pages 51-71, February.
    17. Maxim S. Finkelstein & Veronica Esaulova, 2005. "On mixture failure rate ordering," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2005-019, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    18. Li, Ting & Anderson, James J., 2009. "The vitality model: A way to understand population survival and demographic heterogeneity," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 118-131.
    19. Finkelstein, Maxim, 2012. "On ordered subpopulations and population mortality at advanced ages," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 81(4), pages 292-299.
    20. Reza Barabadi & Mohammad Ataei & Reza Khalokakaie & Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou, 2021. "Spare-part management in a heterogeneous environment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(3), pages 1-14, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:apsmbi:v:25:y:2009:i:6:p:643-663. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)1526-4025 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.