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Mittel-, Ost- und Südosteuropa von der EU-Krise voll erfasst

Author

Listed:
  • Mario Holzner
  • Vasily Astrov

    (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

Abstract

Die hohe Exportabhängigkeit vom krisenbelasteten Euro-Raum und die Schwäche der Binnennachfrage dämpfen das Wirtschaftswachstum der mittel-, ost- und südosteuropäischen Länder (MOSOEL). Ausgehend vom Bankensektor, der sich großteils im Eigentum westeuropäischer Finanzinstitute befindet, drücken der Schuldenabbau und die Kreditrestriktion die Inlandsnachfrage. Außerdem zwingt der jüngst verabschiedete neue Fiskalpakt der EU viele Regierungen zu Sparmaßnahmen, die die heimische Nachfrage zusätzlich beeinträchtigen. 2013 wird zwar in mehreren Ländern mit einer schwachen Erholung der Wirtschaftsleistung gerechnet, eine deutlichere Wachstumsbeschleunigung ist jedoch auch mittelfristig kaum zu erwarten. Sie hängt entscheidend von einer Erholung im Euro-Raum ab, die angesichts der vehementen Sparpolitik wenig wahrscheinlich erscheint.

Suggested Citation

  • Mario Holzner & Vasily Astrov, 2013. "Mittel-, Ost- und Südosteuropa von der EU-Krise voll erfasst," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 86(5), pages 415-423, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2013:i:5:p:415-423
    Note: With English abstract.
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    Keywords

    Osteuropa; Südosteuropa; Zentraleuropa; Mitteleuropa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • P2 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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