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Erholung mit anhaltender Unsicherheit. Prognose für 2013 und 2014

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  • Christian Glocker

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Im 2. Halbjahr 2012 stagnierte die österreichische Volkswirtschaft nahezu, vieles spricht aber für eine Rückkehr auf einen Wachstumspfad im I. Quartal 2013. So wies ein Großteil der Vorlaufindikatoren bereits im November auf ein Ende der Abwärtsbewegung hin. Die Wirtschaftsentwicklung hat demnach wahrscheinlich zu Jahresbeginn die Talsohle durchschritten. Die binnenwirtschaftlichen Voraussetzungen für einen langen und breit angelegten Aufschwung sind weiterhin intakt. Erhebliche Risiken liegen allerdings nach wie vor im außenwirtschaftlichen Umfeld. Nach einem Wachstum von 0,8% im gesamten Jahr 2012 wird das BIP in Österreich 2013 um 1,0% und 2014 um 1,8% expandieren.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Glocker, 2013. "Erholung mit anhaltender Unsicherheit. Prognose für 2013 und 2014," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 86(4), pages 287-297, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2013:i:4:p:287-297
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Kunnert, 2013. "Prognose der Baubewilligungen für Wohneinheiten in Österreich 2013 und 2014. Teilbericht 4," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 67111, February.

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    Keywords

    Konjunkturprognose Österreich;

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